Out on passage, fuel has a way of turning from a number on a gauge into a living thing that changes its mood with the sea state. One day the boat’s humming along and the math looks tidy; the next you’re into a sloppy head sea and the same RPM buys you less speed and more burn.
The trick isn’t chasing a perfect figure. It’s keeping an honest picture of what you can actually use, and how fast you’re spending it, with enough cross-checks that one lying sender doesn’t steer the whole ship. Keep the log steady, watch the trends, and give yourself decision points before you’re negotiating with the last quarter of a tank.